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The deal became
feasible because of a failed takeover battle for Autodistributions parent
company. Private equity investor Butler Capital Partners must make an
investment decision within three weeks. Other private equity firms compete with
Questions:
What industry and strategic factors must be considered in the decision to
invest in a components supplier?
What local investment factors should be of concern in the decision to invest in
Autodistribution?
Should Walter Butler submit a proposal for Autodistribution? What rate of return do you expect for this investment? Please consider the assumptions for margin improvements and growth in Exhibit 18 of the case.
What is your assessment of Autodistributions chances for pan-European expansion? In your opinion, what are the major risks associated with this investment? What can Walter Butler and his team do to mitigate these risks?
Paul-Marie Chavanne is interested in joining Autodistribution as CEO, but he has not signed on yet. What kind of incentives should Walter Butler offer to Chavanne? How should these incentives be structured? What should Walter Butler's strategy be in negotiating the deal?
Answers:
Question 1:
Since the
pricing level of the deal has been fixed, and the growth opportunities have
been determined with certain, Butler Capital is only left with overcoming the
future execution risks. Though the time is limited, and there are many constraints
to the deal,
With the future consolidation of independent wholesalers, and non-affiliated wholesalers, the sales will grow substantially. Synergies can be exploited from this because more subsidiaries mean more purchasing bargaining power.
The European markets are ripe for consolidation. The acquisition opportunities are very profitable in the current fragmented European auto-parts markets.
Efficiency can be improved internally in Autodistribution because the main three departments can be better-organized and centralized.
E-commerce can be another driver of business in the future.
Of course, there are also
Ex-ante risks and hurdles:
The deal seems to be fully priced
BNP has very stringent terms on the debt.
Many other competitive contenders who also want to acquire Autodistribution.
Ex-post risks
AD and its management team do not have a lot of international business experience (execution risk). New people are also needed.
Corporate culture needs to be modified from entrepreneur-encouraging to more centralized.
Chavanne has not signed as the CEO yet.
All of the ex-post risks can be avoided by a well-organized transition management. Therefore, they should not be a big concern for Butler Capital. Though the ex-ante risks seem problematic due to limited time and information, Walter should not be too worried because the fact that many private equity firms bidding for AD is already a sign that acquisition of AD is an extremely attractive deal. Therefore, they should definitely submit the proposal for AD.
The answer to this question is not a clear one. In order to reach a conclusion we have to analyze the decision from different angles.
As
no flexibility on price as AD
Shareholders want the same condition. In this case
time constraint , they have only two weeks not only to evaluate properly the business but also to complete the transaction. Autodistribution is not a small company is a big one and in order to come up with a very good expertise.
In the evaluation they should have also a proper view over the Autodistributions agreement with Strafor Facom, because this transaction may give some answers about the AD.-But time constraint is a problem again.
On the other hand, they need to secure finance in this short time, which can also be a problem.
Another important aspect related with the time constraint is that after the acquisition they have to come with a restructuring plan in order to create value. But this plan should be made accordingly with the previous analyses made before(time constraint problem).
AD doesnt have big international reputation as they did
business only in
Pros:
The French private equity market was increasing very much during that period. So if they decide to submit the proposal and this afterwards accepted, the private equity market can assure them good outcomes.
Even if AD has a very strong position on
the French market they do not make business outside
As is said in exhibit 6
Italian market may also be a good opportunity for AD after the restructuration especially in the North part and in the big cities.
The British market may offer some good possibilities as many smaller wholesales disappeared and been replaced by bigger companies. The tradition of the small wholesales started to be replaced by big companies
The recent deregulation on the European Legislation
The French market will continue to increase due to: growth number of cars , the increased technical complexity of car parts, more compulsory vehicle inspections.
Question 2: Valuation
In order to find out the beta of the company, we will look at comparable firms, since AD is not traded. In Exhibit 19a, we have several companies to choose from, but we will pick OReilly, Partco and Fine List, as they are comparable with AD, given the revenues.
Calculating the WACC:
Cost of debt is the weighted average of the coupons from the proposed debt structure
Cost of equity will be obtained with the use of CAPM
Risk free rate is 4.88% (French Government bond Exhibit 17)
Equity premium is 7.5% (assumption made by Raj in the last case also)
For obtaining the equity beta, we look at other firms that operate in the same industry: from exhibit 19a, we choose the companies that have similar revenues
Starting from their equity beta, we obtain their asset beta, considering that each of them has a different capital structure
We calculate an average asset beta for the 3 companies chosen and based on this value we calculate the equity beta for AD
We plug everything into the CAMP and we obtain the cost of equity
We calculate the WACC
Working Capital Turnover: Sales divided by Net Working Capital (current assets minus current liabilities). Ratios higher than industry norms may indicate a strain on available liquid assets, while low ratios may suggest too much liquidity. Target: at or above industry level.
Days Working Capital: 365/(working capital turnover): Expresses the coverage in number of days of available working capital.
A warrant is a call option written by the company itself on new stock (whereas the regular call option is written on existing stock).
Reprises & transferts de charges - reversal (transfer) of a provision / shifting; write-backs of provisions and transfers of expenditure.
Extraordinary items
n Unusual for the company and infrequent
n Losses due to natural disasters
n Expropriations
n Exception
n Material gains/losses from extinguishment of debt (to be reported as extraordinary item)
Extraordinary events can also be mergers, new production systems.
Goodwill can be thought as a premium for buying a business
Question 3:
AD stands good chances to succeed in the European market for several reasons:
Since every of the European markets was very fragmented, with no company holding a significant share, AD strategy of consolidation has good prospectives there as well
AD already has prospective targets, that is the European wholesalers affiliated with the ADI network
Early to mid 1990 steady growth of the auto parts market
The rest of Europe had more permissive legislation than France: they can sell body parts there (and in France in 2002)
A possible drawback could be ADs management lack of international experience; however, since the markets are all similar in structure, that shouldnt constitute a major problem. Moreover, no other players (in other countries) benefit from international experience either.
Last but maybe more important: first movers advantage (maybe they shouldnt wait for 3 years before starting consolidating beyond French borders)
Question 4:
There is a wide range of incentives that can be offered to Mr. Chavanne, the problem is to see what exactly is being asked from the new CEO.
As seen above, when we limit the discussion to the execution risk, the CEO should be aware of the new generation issue in AD. Since the old management of AD will become shareholders of the new entity, they will want a person in charge who can best represent their interest and view of this business. In this case, Mr. Chavanne should smoothly handle this delicate and slow process of passing on to a new generation and Mr. Butler has to include an incentive in this sense, maybe a clause that Pierre Farsy can still vote to key decisions.
Since the remuneration of the CEO is a key factor in Mr. Chavannes decision, this should include a fix salary, most likely higher than 3 FF million (Chavanness last salary at SF) plus options on the stock of the company, when it will become public. As Mr. Chavanne has already made a plan for AD to follow, the compensation should include rewards for each objective met.
As for the stock options offered to the CEO, a period of several years before being able to use the options, a vesting period should be specified, namely until the plan of expansion and acquisitions will be completed.
In the exhibit 15 from the case, we can see that the proposed capital structure includes equity to the management, namely an amount of 15 FF millions. This is another way to directly offer the CEO a share in the equity of the company, through this restricted stock.
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